
Fund Managers Are Bullish — Bank of America Warns of Trouble Ahead if the Federal Reserve Doesn’t Cut Rates
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In its latest November fund‑manager survey, Bank of America finds investor sentiment at its highest since February, with fund managers heavily overweight equities and holding a scant 3.7% in cash — a technical warning sign for markets.
The bank’s strategists caution that if the Fed fails to cut interest rates at its December meeting, the current exuberance could quickly reverse — particularly hitting financial stocks and emerging‑markets assets.
Highlights from the survey: 53% of respondents expect a U.S. soft landing; global growth expectations are positive for the first time this year; a net 20% regard large‑scale AI capital spending as overdone — urging caution.
In short: Fund managers are optimistic — maybe too optimistic. And Bank of America is flashing amber: without a rate cut, the positioning could become a headwind rather than a tailwind for markets.
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