
A Key Piece to the Stock Market’s December Rally Is Beginning to Fall Into Place
•By ADMIN
U.S. stocks may be getting a late‑year boost — and a key driver could be the rebound in Bitcoin. Recent gains in Bitcoin have helped lift investor mood, and according to a survey by American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), bullish sentiment toward stocks over the next six months jumped to 44.3%, up 12 percentage points from the previous reading. Meanwhile, bearish sentiment has dropped to 31%, more in line with historical norms.
At the same time, stronger‑than‑expected third‑quarter earnings and upbeat forecasts for the S&P 500 are reinforcing optimism: estimates suggest a year‑over‑year profit growth of about 14.7%. Retail investors — who had largely stepped back from the market since October — appear to be re‑entering, and analysts such as LPL Financial see their return as crucial to sustaining momentum.
Add to that a recent streak of strong performance — the S&P 500 has had gains in six of the last seven sessions, bringing it within 0.6% of its all‑time high.
But before you raise a glass: the next move from the Federal Reserve — its interest‑rate decision due next week — could still steer markets either way. If sentiment holds and broader conditions stay favorable, the S&P 500 could push toward 6930 — or maybe even past 7000 — marking a third straight year of 20%+ gains.
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